Fight for the middle: the real political quandary
So Gordon Boring has announced the “worst-kept secret in politics” this week: there is to be an election on 6th May. The schools which double as polling stations have all been aware they would be closed on that day anyway for some time.
There has been so much coverage in the media for ages – newsprint, periodicals, television and internet – we would all be forgiven for assuming the date had been announced months ago.
The coverage, with rare exception, has focused on the race for Number 10 being close-run / nail-biting / unpredictable / too close to call etc. and the result being hung / drawn / quartered etc. Bless, we even had that little Cameron spitting image doll who runs the Liberal Democrats hopefully saying yesterday “this isn’t a two-horse race”.
What I haven’t seen anywhere is the truth about Britain and the innate struggle for the voters. It is often hard for political pundits who loiter in the Westminster lobbies to understand that there is life outside the M25, but it is true. The views, fears and concerns of those outside London will decide the election (as they do every time), but millions of people all over the country will only now see politics in action as all parties climb aboard their battlebuses for the first time since… the last general election.
St Tony of Notting Hill had a stroke of genius in the mid-nineties. He worked out – because for all his flaws and subsequent megalomania, he was a clever chap – that the way to steal a march on the incumbent Tories was to move the Labour Party’s ethos to the centre of the debating floor. Not too much, not at first, nothing to scare the die-hard unionists off, and not enough either, to secure a support from dyed-in-the wool conservatives (who felt the Blues were coasting without a rudder since they stabbed poor Maggie in the back). But what he did do was to create a third way - giving Liberals something to vote for.
Now here’s a little exercise in branding, rather than voting. In this country, if you identify with more than one of these statements:
I am well-off
I was privately educated
I will do whatever I need to, to privately educate my own children
I have professional status
I have or crave financial independence
I am concerned about death duties
I prefer my holidays to be a la carte, rather than all-inclusive
I aspire to some of the above
… then you are probably a Conservative voter
If you identify with these:
I am making ends meet
I have a right to state education
My children have a right to state education
I’m living for the weekend
I want to know that the State will provide for me if needed
I am concerned about death
I don’t care where I go on holiday as long as there’s sun and proper grub
I live with the hand I was dealt with
… then you are probably a Labour voter.
Whereas if you identify with…
I feel comfortably-off
I am lucky enough to have an education
I believe that with parental support, any school can be brilliant
I have a big mortgage, but a good job
With careful planning, I can have a comfortable retirement
I have planned my funeral and sourced a renewable wood coffin
I am as happy on holiday in Bodmin as I am in Barcelona
You get out of life what you put into it
… then you might be surprised to discover you are a Liberal Democrat voter.
I would hazard a guess that if you were to break down the UK population based on the above criteria, you would find that 20% are Conservative at heart, 30% are Labour and 50% are Liberals. If I’m right (and there’s absolutely no guarantee I am), then this really should be a two-horse race, and Conservatives should be vying for third place.
The Conservative and Labour parties are so fixed in the national psyche as The Only Two that all the brainy, talented would-be politicians join their ranks. There is such an obvious dearth of policy, impetus and talent in the Liberal Democrats that no one with any ambition, vision or original thought bothers to sign up. They have become the de facto “none of the above” party. Which is a shame.
This country is broadly liberal – a little to the left on some issues (social welfare, housing, environment), a little to the right on others (immigration, family, education), but there is no one to carry the flag for this silent majority.
To say that this election is too close to call is to miss the point entirely. Surely no one in their right mind would want to see Labour voted in for a fourth term – any party outstays its welcome after two, when the focus shifts from wanting to make the country a better place, to clinging on to power and influence. Power corrupts. It slowly erodes moral fibre until all that is left is a paranoid shaking husk where a politician used to be. Equally, the Tories haven’t explained themselves well enough. They do actually have some brilliant policies and ideas, but they are failing to communicate them to the electorate. Because of this, the voters are looking from one party to the other and not seeing a direction.
Largely, the blame for this rests with St Tony. His 1997 election (and it was his, not theirs) was a PR coup of style over substance. It was the first election of celebrity and it changed the way the public viewed the whole process. He knew, unquestionably, that he would be elected for two terms, because he had a group of extremely savvy publicists guiding the party. The third term was a shock for all involved, to be fair. But because he positioned “new” Labour as the centre party, he left the liberals with nothing to add to the debate and caused a dilemma for the Conservatives: they could either move further right to claim their own space (and thus become even less electable, because the further right they moved, the more that percentage would fall), or they could play catch-up on the centre-ground. They chose the latter, the only viable option, but it left them arguing only minutely varied positions for 13 years, which has dissolved their grip, and Labour’s, with the result that no one knows what either party stands for any more. As I said, it was genius, but incredibly short-sighted.
It is because of this that we find ourselves now looking for a third way. Mr Brown’s self-serving cronies must go, but we worry that to hire Mr Cameron’s crew would be to replace one ineffective party with another, because they both seem to stand for the same things. And only naïve idealists will vote for Mr Clegg (I actually had to look his name up – it utterly escaped me for some reason), because why choose a really rubbish Liberal party when you have two other liberal parties to choose from already.
With such a vague choice, it is easy to assume that the electorate are apathetic, beaten into mumbling submission by 13 years of Labour rule, left with no energy to care. But you’d be wrong. The people are desperate to fix our ailing parliament; to buy into the right kind of leadership; to have an impassioned, motivated party show us the way out of recession; out of our broken society and into a bright new dawn.
Which is where the real danger lies in having a General Election right now. Because the people don’t see those qualities in the rotten Labour, in the perky Conservatives, in the indistinguishable Liberal Democrats, there is a risk that marginal groups will increase their grip in Westminster. In such a bland political landscape, a little charisma can go a long way: parties with a bold stance on issues will undoubtedly gain ground with voters happy for a reason to use their ballot cards. The Greens, Plaid Cymru, the SNP, the dreaded BNP, fringe groups like George Galloway’s Respect and even Tamsin Omond’s quirky startup The Commons all stand to increase their footholds on the carpeted corridors of power.
It may be an extreme example, but in 1920s Germany, the people were poor, unhappy and deeply disaffected with their government, much as we are now. When Adolf Hitler joined a fringe group called the German Workers’ Party (DAP), he was only its 55th member. Within a year, its membership had swelled to over 2000 and he had assumed its leadership. Just seven years later, the Nazis had 12 seats in parliament… now I’m not suggesting the lovely Miss Omond is planning a march on Poland, but there are valuable lessons to be learnt from fairly recent political history.
It is essential that one of the political leaders sticks his head above the parapet to claim to stand for something, to show the courage of his convictions and to demonstrate leadership. Say what needs to be said, do what needs to be done and stop worrying about what we want to hear.
Wow. Soapbox much?

